|A lot has changed since the beta launched...|
Today sees the first day of Raid Testing on the Beta Server.
Looking at the timings, and the situation on the beta generally, plus the fact that a number of sites are beginning to hint they feel an announcement is not far off, it could be time to guess the release date AGAIN. This time around however we have some limiting factors to consider, most notably the updated Brewfest rewards (which are suddenly looking like they'll be must wants for most, if not all of my alts at this rate) That's September 20th, which means (considering where we are), I'm going to assume the following:
- PTR should open 'soon' for a 'transitional' patch which would apply new skills and introduce the Theramore Scenario. In this case, I'd say soon to be 2-3 weeks. This would go live at the beginning of August.
- Raid testing will go on even after release date is announced, and we will get a 'balancing patch' very soon after release. I would expect a lot less raid testing than perhaps many people are expecting, to try and keep the encounters 'fresher for longer'
Personally, looking at the situation as it stands (and considering some people think Blizzard is playing chicken with the Guild Wars 2 people in terms of release dates) I'm going to pin my colours to the flag and say August 28th, just before the kids go back to school.
Whether I'm right (a second time) however now remains to be seen... ^^